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1916 United States presidential election

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1916 United States presidential election

← 1912 November 7, 1916 1920 →

531 members of the Electoral College
266 electoral votes needed to win
Turnout61.8%[1] Increase 2.8 pp
 
Thomas Woodrow Wilson, Harris & Ewing bw photo portrait, 1919 (cropped 3x4).jpg
Governor Charles Evans Hughes (cropped).jpg
Nominee Woodrow Wilson Charles Evans Hughes
Party Democratic Republican
Home state New Jersey New York
Running mate Thomas R. Marshall Charles W. Fairbanks
Electoral vote 277 254
States carried 30 18
Popular vote 9,126,868 8,548,728
Percentage 49.2% 46.1%

1916 United States presidential election in California1916 United States presidential election in Oregon1916 United States presidential election in Washington (state)1916 United States presidential election in Idaho1916 United States presidential election in Nevada1916 United States presidential election in Utah1916 United States presidential election in Arizona1916 United States presidential election in Montana1916 United States presidential election in Wyoming1916 United States presidential election in Colorado1916 United States presidential election in New Mexico1916 United States presidential election in North Dakota1916 United States presidential election in South Dakota1916 United States presidential election in Nebraska1916 United States presidential election in Kansas1916 United States presidential election in Oklahoma1916 United States presidential election in Texas1916 United States presidential election in Minnesota1916 United States presidential election in Iowa1916 United States presidential election in Missouri1916 United States presidential election in Arkansas1916 United States presidential election in Louisiana1916 United States presidential election in Wisconsin1916 United States presidential election in Illinois1916 United States presidential election in Michigan1916 United States presidential election in Indiana1916 United States presidential election in Ohio1916 United States presidential election in Kentucky1916 United States presidential election in Tennessee1916 United States presidential election in Mississippi1916 United States presidential election in Alabama1916 United States presidential election in Georgia1916 United States presidential election in Florida1916 United States presidential election in South Carolina1916 United States presidential election in North Carolina1916 United States presidential election in Virginia1916 United States presidential election in West Virginia1916 United States presidential election in Maryland1916 United States presidential election in Delaware1916 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania1916 United States presidential election in New Jersey1916 United States presidential election in New York1916 United States presidential election in Connecticut1916 United States presidential election in Rhode Island1916 United States presidential election in Vermont1916 United States presidential election in New Hampshire1916 United States presidential election in Maine1916 United States presidential election in Massachusetts1916 United States presidential election in Maryland1916 United States presidential election in Delaware1916 United States presidential election in New Jersey1916 United States presidential election in Connecticut1916 United States presidential election in Rhode Island1916 United States presidential election in Massachusetts1916 United States presidential election in Vermont1916 United States presidential election in New Hampshire
Presidential election results map. Blue denotes states won by Wilson/Marshall, red denotes those won by Hughes/Fairbanks. Numbers indicate the number of electoral votes allotted to each state.

President before election

Woodrow Wilson
Democratic

Elected President

Woodrow Wilson
Democratic

The 1916 United States presidential election was the 33rd quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 7, 1916. Incumbent Democratic President Woodrow Wilson narrowly defeated former associate justice of the Supreme Court Charles Evans Hughes, the Republican candidate.

In June, the 1916 Republican National Convention chose Hughes as a compromise between the conservative and progressive wings of the party. Hughes was on the Supreme Court in 1912 and was not involved in the bitter politics of that year. He defeated John W. Weeks, Elihu Root, and several other candidates on the third ballot. While conservative and progressive Republicans had been divided in the 1912 election between the candidacies of incumbent President William Howard Taft and former President Theodore Roosevelt, they largely united around Hughes in his bid to oust Wilson. Hughes remains, as of today, the only person to have served as a Supreme Court justice and later been a major party's presidential nominee. Wilson was renominated at the 1916 Democratic National Convention, as was Vice President Thomas R. Marshall, both without opposition. Hughes's running mate was Charles W. Fairbanks, who had been Theodore Roosevelt's vice president in his second term.

The campaign took place against a background dominated by war — the Mexican Revolution and World War I. Although officially neutral in the European conflict, public opinion in the United States favored the Allied forces led by Great Britain and France against the German Empire and Austria-Hungary, due to the harsh treatment of civilians by the German Army and the militaristic character of the German and Austrian monarchies.[2] Despite their sympathy for the Allied forces, most American voters wanted to avoid involvement in the war and preferred to continue a policy of neutrality. Wilson's campaign used the popular slogans "He kept us out of war" and "America First" to appeal to those voters who wanted to avoid a war in Europe or with Mexico.[3][4][5] Hughes criticized Wilson for not taking the "necessary preparations" to face a conflict.[6]

Although many saw Hughes as the favorite to win, Wilson after a hard-fought contest defeated him by nearly 600,000 votes out of about 18.5 million cast in the popular vote. Wilson secured a narrow majority in the Electoral College by sweeping the Solid South and winning several swing states with razor-thin margins. Wilson won California, the decisive state, by just 3,773 votes. Since the GOP was not as split as in 1912, Wilson did not have the same easy victory as he had four years earlier, losing his home state of New Jersey along with the states of Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Marshall's home state of Indiana, Iowa, Maine, Massachusetts, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, West Virginia (although he still won an electoral vote from the state), and Wisconsin. However, Wilson still managed to win two states that he had lost in 1912 (Utah and Washington), and fully won California after having only obtained two out of 13 electoral votes from California in 1912.

Wilson became the first candidate to win reelection while losing both Pennsylvania and New York (Harry Truman and George W. Bush would later do the same). It was the first election since 1892 in which a Democrat was elected to a second term, and the first since 1832 in which a Democrat was elected to a consecutive second term. The United States entered the war in April 1917, one month after Wilson's second term began.

Nominations

[edit]

Democratic Party nomination

[edit]
Democratic Party (United States)
Democratic Party (United States)
1916 Democratic Party ticket
Woodrow Wilson Thomas R. Marshall
for President for Vice President
28th
President of the United States
(1913–1921)
28th
Vice President of the United States
(1913–1921)
HCV: 1,092 votes
1,202,492 votes

The 1916 Democratic National Convention was held in St. Louis, Missouri between June 14 and 16. Given Wilson's incumbency and enormous popularity within the party, he was overwhelmingly re-nominated. Vice President Thomas R. Marshall was also re-nominated with no opposition.

Republican Party nomination

[edit]
Republican Party (United States)
Republican Party (United States)
1916 Republican Party ticket
Charles Evans Hughes Charles W. Fairbanks
for President for Vice President
Associate Justice
of the U.S. Supreme Court

(1910–1916)
26th
Vice President of the United States
(1905–1909)
ID: 18 delegates
HCV: 950 votes
82,530 votes

Other major candidates

[edit]
Candidates in this section are sorted by their highest vote count on the nominating ballots
John W. Weeks Elihu Root Charles W. Fairbanks Albert B. Cummins Theodore Roosevelt Theodore E. Burton
U.S. Senator
from Massachusetts
(1913–1919)
U.S. Senator
from New York
(1909–1915)
U.S. Vice President
from Indiana
(1905–1909)
U.S. Senator
from Iowa
(1908–1926)
U.S. President
from New York
(1901–1909)
U.S. Senator
from Ohio
(1909–1915)
W:Before Third Ballot
ID: 0 delegates
HCV: 105 votes
0 votes
W:In Midst of Third Ballot
ID: 0 delegates
HCV: 103 votes
786 votes
W:In Midst of Third Ballot
ID: 40 delegates
HCV: 89 votes
176,080 votes
ID: 82 delegates
HCV: 85 votes
191,951 votes
ID: 14 delegates
HCV: 81 votes
83,739 votes
W:In Midst of Third Ballot
ID: 40 delegates
HCV: 78 votes
122,169 votes
Lawrence Y. Sherman Philander C. Knox Henry Ford Martin G. Brumbaugh Robert M. La Follette T. Coleman du Pont
U.S. Senator
from Illinois
(1913–1921)
Secretary of State
from Pennsylvania
(1909–1913)
President of the
Ford Motor Company
from Michigan
(1906–1919)
Governor
of Pennsylvania
(1915–1919)
U.S. Senator
from Wisconsin
(1906–1925)
President of DuPont
from Delaware
(?–1915)
ID: 56 delegates
W:Before Third Ballot
HCV: 66 votes
155,945 votes
ID: 0 delegates
NFN
HCV: 36 votes
386 votes
ID: 32 delegates
NFN
HCV: 32 votes
131,965 votes
ID: 19 delegates
W:Before Second Ballot
HCV: 29 votes
233,100 votes
ID: 25 delegates
HCV: 25 votes
133,486 votes
ID: 6 delegates
HCV: 13 votes
0 votes

Delegate selection

[edit]

Convention

[edit]
Republican Convention, The Coliseum, Chicago

The 1916 Republican National Convention was held in Chicago between June 7 and 10.

A major goal of the party leaders was to heal the bitter split that ripped the party apart in 1912. Although several candidates were openly competing for the 1916 nomination — most prominently Senator Elihu Root of New York and Senator John W. Weeks of Massachusetts — the leaders wanted a moderate who would be acceptable to both factions.

They turned to Supreme Court Justice Charles Evans Hughes, who had been serving on the court since 1910 and had the advantage of not having publicly spoken about political issues in six years. Although he had not actively sought the nomination, Hughes made it known that he would not turn it down. He won the nomination on the third ballot. Former Vice President Charles W. Fairbanks was nominated as his running mate. Hughes remains, as of today, the only serving Supreme Court justice to be nominated for president by a major political party.

Ballot 1 2 3
Charles Evans Hughes 253 326 950
John W. Weeks 105 102 2
Elihu Root 103 89 9
Charles W. Fairbanks 89 75 7
Albert B. Cummins 85 77 2
Theodore Roosevelt 81 65 19
Theodore E. Burton 78 69 9
Lawrence Yates Sherman 66 59 5
Philander C. Knox 36 30 6
Henry Ford 32 29 9
Martin Grove Brumbaugh 29 22 2
Robert M. La Follette 25 25 23
William Howard Taft 14 4 0
T. Coleman du Pont 7 13 6
Henry Cabot Lodge 7 2 0
John Wanamaker 5 1 1
Frank B. Willis 1 2 2
William Borah 2 0 2
Warren G. Harding 1 0 1
Samuel W. McCall 0 1 1
Leonard Wood 0 1 1

Progressive Party nomination

[edit]
1916 Progressive Party ticket
None John Parker
for President for Vice President
N/A Businessman and 1916 nominee for Governor of Louisiana

Candidates considered

[edit]
Candidates Considered
Theodore Roosevelt Victor Murdock Hiram Johnson Gifford Pinchot
U.S. President
from New York
(1901–1909)
U.S. Representative
from Kansas
(1903–1915)
Governor
of California
(1911–1917)
Chief of the
U.S. Forest Service
from Pennsylvania
(1905–1910)
DN NFN DI DI

The Progressive Party re-nominated former President Theodore Roosevelt.

For Vice President, Progressives nominated businessman John M. Parker of Louisiana, who had run an unsuccessful campaign. California Governor Hiram Johnson was suggested for renomination, and Raymond Robins, chairman of the party convention, was proposed, but both withdrew their names in favor of Parker.

However, Roosevelt telegraphed the convention and declared that he could not accept their nomination and would be endorsing Republican nominee Charles Evans Hughes for the presidency. Roosevelt turned down the Progressive nomination for both personal and political reasons. He was convinced that running for president on a third-party ticket again would merely give the election to the Democrats and had developed a strong dislike for President Wilson. He also believed Wilson was allowing Germany and other warring nations in Europe to "bully" and intimidate the United States.[7][8][9]

Former U.S. Representative Victor Murdock of Kansas pushed for a ticket consisting of William Jennings Bryan and Henry Ford but nothing came of it.[citation needed] Some, such as National Committeeman Harold L. Ickes, refused to consider endorsing Hughes. There was some talk of replacing Roosevelt with Hiram Johnson or Gifford Pinchot.[citation needed] All those discussed refused to consider the notion, and by this point, some leaders such as Henry Justin Allen had started to follow Roosevelt's lead and endorsed Hughes. Various state parties, such as those in Iowa and Maine, began to disband.

Finally, when the Progressive Party National Committee met in Chicago on June 26, those in attendance begrudgingly endorsed Hughes; even those like Ickes who had vehemently refused to consider granting an endorsement to Hughes began to recognize that without Roosevelt the party had no electoral staying power. There had been a weak attempt to replace Roosevelt on the ticket with Victor Murdock, but the motion was defeated 31 to 15.[citation needed]

With Roosevelt refusing their nomination, the Progressive Party quickly fell into disarray. Most members returned to the Republican Party, but a substantial minority supported Wilson for his efforts in keeping the United States out of World War I.

Without a presidential nominee, many in the party, notably vice-presidential nominee John M. Parker and Bainbridge Colby, remained steadfast in their refusal to support Hughes. Parker desired the presidential nomination himself. Colby, while opposed to the endorsement of Hughes, now considered a Progressive campaign impractical and privately supported Wilson. It appeared likely for a time that another convention would be called in early August, until a conference held among the remaining representatives of the party in Indianapolis decided against it, while also narrowly voting against filling the vacancy that had been caused by Roosevelt's refusal to be placed on the ticket (though Parker remained the vice-presidential nominee). Electoral tickets would still be put in place where the Progressive Party remained organized in the hopes of electing enough electors so as to possibly hold the balance of power in a close contest between the Democratic and Republican candidates.

While running as the vice-presidential nominee, John Parker would endorse Woodrow Wilson for the presidency.[10][11]

Socialist Party nomination

[edit]
1916 Socialist Party ticket
Allan L. Benson George R. Kirkpatrick
for President for Vice President
Newspaper Editor
from New York
Writer and Political Activist
from New Jersey

Other candidates

[edit]
Candidates in this section are sorted by number of votes received in the Mail-In Primary
James H. Maurer Arthur LeSueur
State Representative
from Pennsylvania
(1915–1919)
Newspaper Editor
from North Dakota
12,264 votes 3,495 votes

Eugene V. Debs and Charles Edward Russell declined to run for the nomination.[12] Debs, who had served as the party's presidential nominee since its foundation, chose to run for a seat in the United States House of Representatives from Indiana's 5th congressional district.[13] Allan Benson, a newspaper editor from New York, quickly came to dominate the field on a platform of his fervent opposition to militarism and proposal that all wars should be voted upon in a national referendum. Rather than a traditional nominating convention, the vote was conducted through a mail-order ballot, with Benson capturing 16,639 out of a total of 32,398 cast (to 12,264 for Maurer and 3,495 for Le Sueur). A vote for the vice-presidential nomination was jointly held with George Ross Kirkpatrick, a lecturer from New Jersey, winning the nomination 20,607 to 11,388 over Kate Richards O'Hare of Missouri.[14]

Prohibition Party nomination

[edit]
1916 Prohibition Party ticket
Frank Hanly Ira Landrith
for President for Vice President
26th
Governor of Indiana
(1905–1909)
Minister and Temperance Activist
from Tennessee

Other candidates

[edit]
Candidates in this section are sorted by their highest vote count on the nominating ballots
William Sulzer
State Assemblyman
from New York
(1914–1914)
181 votes

The twelfth Prohibition National Convention assembled in Saint Paul, Minnesota on July 19. Before the convention a number of figures were considered potential nominees for the presidency, among them former Democratic presidential nominee William Jennings Bryan, former Governor of New York William Sulzer, former Governor of Massachusetts Eugene Foss, former Governor of Indiana Frank Hanly, former General Nelson Miles, and former Alabama Congressman Richmond Hobson;[15] Sulzer and Hanly ultimately were the only two to actively campaign for the nomination. It was generally recognized early on that Hanly's nomination was favored with a supporter of his, Robert Patton, being named as permanent chairman of the convention. This culminated with the adoption of much of his program into the Party platform and his own nomination for the presidency, Hanly receiving 440 votes to Sulzer's 181.[16][17] Ira Landrith, a Presbyterian minister from Tennessee and member of the Flying Squadron of America was nominated for the vice presidency after other names were withdrawn from contention before the first ballot.

General election

[edit]
Business advertising postcard exploiting public interest in the election; parts of Wilson's and Hughes' faces can be seen in this image, with the U.S. Capitol building in the background
A Wilson campaign wagon

During the campaign, Edward M. House was Wilson's top campaign advisor. Hodgson says, "he planned its structure; set its tone; guided its finance; chose speakers, tactics, and strategy; and, not least, handled the campaign's greatest asset and greatest potential liability: its brilliant but temperamental candidate."[18] The Democrats built their campaign around the slogan, "He Kept Us Out of War," saying a Republican victory would mean war with both Mexico and Germany. Wilson's position was probably critical in winning the Western states.[19]

Charles Evans Hughes advocated greater mobilization and preparedness for war.[20] With Wilson having successfully pressured the Germans to suspend unrestricted submarine warfare, it was difficult for Hughes to attack Wilson's peace platform.

Instead, Hughes criticized Wilson's military interventions in Mexico, where the U.S. was supporting various factions in the Mexican Revolution.[21]

Hughes also attacked Wilson for his support of various "pro-labor" laws (such as limiting the workday to eight hours), on the grounds that they were harmful to business interests. His criticisms gained little traction, however, especially among factory workers who supported such laws. Hughes was helped by the vigorous support of popular former President Theodore Roosevelt, and by the fact that the Republicans were still the nation's majority party at the time.[citation needed]

Hughes made a key mistake in California. The 1912 split in Republican ranks remained a lingering issue, with two rival factions in California. Hughes decided to base his California campaign with the conservative Republican regulars instead of the Progressive faction. Hiram Johnson, the governor of California who had been Roosevelt's running mate in 1912, did endorse and speak for Hughes. However Johnson did not mobilize the Progressive faction and it saw Wilson as more of a true progressive. Wilson carried California by 3,773 votes (0.3%) and with it the Electoral College and the presidency.[22][23]

Wilson's contingency plan had he lost

[edit]

In the weeks prior to the election, Wilson began to worry that, were he to lose the race to Hughes, he would remain a lame duck until March 1917. For Wilson, this was problematic, given that the United States was likely on the eve of its entry into the First World War. Wilson, thus, privately floated a contingency plan: were Hughes to win, Wilson would immediately appoint Hughes secretary of state (a role which was, at the time, second-in-line to the presidency). Wilson and Vice President Marshall would both then resign, allowing Hughes to immediately become acting president, thereby avoiding a lengthy lame duck presidency.[24][25] This plan was first revealed publicly two decades later in the memoirs of Robert Lansing, Wilson's secretary of state, who, under the plan, would have had to have resigned or been dismissed in order to allow Hughes to assume that office.[26]

Results

[edit]

The result was exceptionally close and the outcome remained in doubt for some time. Some New York newspapers declared Hughes the winner on Wednesday morning, including The World and The Sun, which erroneously published that six states (California, Idaho, New Hampshire, North Dakota, Washington, and Wyoming) had voted for Hughes.[27] The official gazette of the Kingdom of Serbia also declared him the winner on 16 November 1916.[28]

A popular legend from the campaign states that Hughes went to bed on election night thinking that he was the newly elected president. When a reporter tried to telephone him the next morning to get his reaction to Wilson's comeback, someone[a] answered the phone and told the reporter that "the president is asleep." The reporter retorted, "When he wakes up, tell him he isn't the president."[29][30]

By Wednesday evening, Wilson had secured 254 electoral votes in the counting, needing either California or Minnesota to claim victory.[31] Democrats declared victory in California on Thursday afternoon, and the California Republican Party conceded defeat that night.[32]

Wilson was the first Democratic president to win a second consecutive term since Andrew Jackson in 1832.[33] Vice-president Thomas R. Marshall also earned the distinction of becoming the first vice-president of any party elected to a second term since John C. Calhoun in 1828. As Calhoun had served as vice president under John Quincy Adams and was re-elected to serve under Andrew Jackson, Wilson and Marshall became the first incumbent ticket to win re-election since James Monroe and Daniel D. Tompkins in 1820.

The electoral vote was one of the closest in U.S. history – with 266 votes needed to win, Wilson took 30 states for 277 electoral votes, while Hughes won 18 states and 254 electoral votes. Wilson was the second of just four presidents in United States history to win re-election with a lower percentage of the electoral vote than in their prior elections, after James Madison in 1812, Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1940 and 1944 and Barack Obama in 2012.

Wilson's popular vote margin of 3.1 percent was the smallest attained by a victorious sitting president since 1812 and retained that status until 2004.

The total popular vote cast in 1916 exceeded that of 1912 by 3,500,000. The large total vote was an indication of an aroused public interest in the campaign. It was larger in every section, notably in the East North Central section. Some of this was due to the extension of suffrage to women in individual states. In Illinois, for example, the total vote was one million greater than in 1912. It increased by more than 260,000 in Kansas, and in Montana, it more than doubled. Wilson's vote was 9,126,868, an increase of nearly 3,000,000. There was a gain in every section and in every state. Hughes, the nominee of the united Republican Party, polled more votes by nearly 1,000,000 than had ever been cast for a Republican candidate.

Among the third-party candidates, Benson's vote dropped to a little over half of what Eugene Debs had earned at the previous election, though this would still represent the best-ever showing of any Socialist candidate other than Debs. Hanly's performance would mark the last time the Prohibition Party exceeded one percent of the popular vote, with the party quickly declining into irrelevance after the passage of the Eighteenth Amendment in 1919.

To date, this is the last presidential election in which North Dakota and South Dakota did not vote for the same candidate, with the only others being 1896 and 1912. This is the last time Illinois voted for a losing candidate until 1976, the last time Minnesota voted for a losing candidate until 1968, and the last time West Virginia voted for a losing candidate until 1952. It was the only time a Democrat was elected without winning West Virginia from the state's founding until 2008.[b] This is one of only four U.S. presidential elections in which the winner did not carry any of the three Rust Belt states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin; the others were 1884, 2000, and 2004.[34]

This was the last election in which the Democrats won New Hampshire until 1936 and the last in which the Democrats won Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Kansas, Maryland, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Ohio, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming until 1932. This would also be one of four times in which the winning presidential candidate lost his home state including 1844, 1968, and 2016. This election and the 1968 election are the only elections ever where the winning presidential and vice presidential candidates lost each of their home states. Wilson was the last Democrat to win an election without carrying Minnesota, Massachusetts, and Rhode Island (although he had previously won the latter two states in 1912). This was the first time since 1856 that Democrats won consecutive elections.

5.45% of Hughes' votes came from the eleven states of the former Confederacy, with him taking 24.89% of the vote in that region.[35]

Electoral results
Presidential candidate Party Home state Popular vote Electoral
vote
Running mate
Count Percentage Vice-presidential candidate Home state Electoral vote
Woodrow Wilson (incumbent) Democratic New Jersey 9,126,868 49.24% 277 Thomas R. Marshall (incumbent) Indiana 277
Charles Evans Hughes Republican New York 8,548,728 46.12% 254 Charles W. Fairbanks Indiana 254
Allan L. Benson Socialist New York 590,524 3.19% 0 George Ross Kirkpatrick New Jersey 0
Frank Hanly Prohibition Indiana 221,302 1.19% 0 Ira Landrith Tennessee 0
None Progressive (n/a) 33,406 0.18% 0 John M. Parker Louisiana 0
Arthur E. Reimer Socialist Labor Massachusetts 15,295 0.08% 0 Caleb Harrison Illinois 0
Other 462 0.00% Other
Total 18,536,585 100% 531 531
Needed to win 266 266

Source (Popular Vote): Leip, David. "1916 Presidential Election Results". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved July 28, 2005.

Source (Electoral Vote): "Electoral College Box Scores 1789–1996". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved July 31, 2005.

Popular vote
Wilson
49.24%
Hughes
46.12%
Benson
3.19%
Hanly
1.19%
Others
0.27%
Electoral vote
Wilson
52.17%
Hughes
47.83%

Results by state

[edit]

The key state proved to be California, which Wilson won by only 3,800 votes out of nearly a million cast. If Hughes had carried California and its 13 electoral votes, he would have won the election.

Although New Hampshire may not have been a deciding state in the election, the margin of victory for Wilson there was the second smallest ever recorded in an American presidential election at just 56 votes, behind Franklin Pierce's 25-vote victory in Delaware in 1852.[36][c]

In some of the states carried by Wilson, particularly in the South, the popular vote margin was large. Wilson ran behind Hughes in New England, the Mid-Atlantic states, and in the East North Central section.[37] His lead was not great in the West North Central, but was very large in the West South Central and Mountain as well as in the East South Central and South Atlantic sections.[38] Half of Wilson's total vote was cast in the 18 states that he did not carry.

States/districts won by Wilson/Marshall
States/districts won by Hughes/Fairbanks
[39] Woodrow Wilson
Democratic
Charles Evans Hughes
Republican
Allan Benson
Socialist
James Hanly
Prohibition
No Candidate
Progressive "Bull Moose"
Arthur Reimer
Socialist Labor
Margin State Total
State electoral
votes
# % electoral
votes
# % electoral
votes
# % electoral
votes
# % electoral
votes
# % electoral
votes
# % electoral
votes
# % #
Alabama 12 99,409 76.04 12 28,662 21.92 - 1,916 1.47 - 741 0.57 - - - - - - - 70,747 54.12 130,728 AL
Arizona 3 33,170 57.17 3 20,524 35.37 - 3,174 5.47 - 1,153 1.99 - - - - - - - 12,646 21.80 58,021 AZ
Arkansas 9 112,211 65.97 9 48,879 28.73 - 6,999 4.11 - 2,015 1.18 - - - - - - - 63,332 37.23 170,104 AR
California 13 466,289 46.65 13 462,516 46.27 - 42,898 4.29 - 27,713 2.77 - - - - - - - 3,773 0.38 999,603 CA
Colorado 6 178,816 60.74 6 102,308 34.75 - 10,049 3.41 - 2,793 0.95 - 409 0.14 - - - - 76,508 25.99 294,375 CO
Connecticut 7 99,786 46.66 - 106,514 49.80 7 5,179 2.42 - 1,789 0.84 - - - - 606 0.28 - -6,728 -3.15 213,874 CT
Delaware 3 24,753 47.78 - 26,011 50.20 3 480 0.93 - 566 1.09 - - - - - - - -1,258 -2.43 51,810 DE
Florida 6 55,984 69.34 6 14,611 18.10 - 5,353 6.63 - 4,786 5.93 - - - - - - - 41,373 51.25 80,734 FL
Georgia 14 127,754 79.51 14 11,294 7.03 - 941 0.59 - - - - 20,692 12.88 - - - - 107,062 66.63 160,681 GA
Idaho 4 70,054 52.04 4 55,368 41.13 - 8,066 5.99 - 1,127 0.84 - - - - - - - 14,686 10.91 134,615 ID
Illinois 29 950,229 43.34 - 1,152,549 52.56 29 61,394 2.80 - 26,047 1.19 - - - - 2,488 0.11 - -202,320 -9.23 2,192,707 IL
Indiana 15 334,063 46.47 - 341,005 47.44 15 21,855 3.04 - 16,368 2.28 - 3,898 0.54 - 1,659 0.23 - -6,942 -0.97 718,848 IN
Iowa 13 218,699 42.55 - 280,439 54.57 13 10,973 2.14 - 3,371 0.66 - - - - 460 0.09 - -61,740 -12.01 513,942 IA
Kansas 10 314,588 49.95 10 277,658 44.09 - 24,685 3.92 - 12,882 2.05 - - - - - - - 36,930 5.86 629,813 KS
Kentucky 13 269,990 51.91 13 241,854 46.50 - 4,734 0.91 - 3,039 0.58 - 129 0.02 - 332 0.06 - 28,136 5.41 520,078 KY
Louisiana 10 79,875 85.90 10 6,466 6.95 - 292 0.31 - - - - 6,349 6.83 - - - - 73,409 78.95 92,982 LA
Maine 6 64,033 46.97 - 69,508 50.99 6 2,177 1.60 - 596 0.44 - - - - - - - -5,475 -4.02 136,314 ME
Maryland 8 138,359 52.80 8 117,347 44.78 - 2,674 1.02 - 2,903 1.11 - - - - 756 0.29 - 21,012 8.02 262,039 MD
Massachusetts 18 247,885 46.61 - 268,784 50.54 18 11,058 2.08 - 2,993 0.56 - - - - 1,097 0.21 - -20,899 -3.93 531,823 MA
Michigan 15 286,775 44.05 - 339,097 52.09 15 16,120 2.48 - 8,139 1.25 - - - - 842 0.13 - -52,322 -8.04 650,973 MI
Minnesota 12 179,152 46.25 - 179,544 46.35 12 20,117 5.19 - 7,793 2.01 - 290 0.07 - 468 0.12 - -392 -0.10 387,364 MN
Mississippi 10 80,422 92.78 10 4,253 4.91 - 1,484 1.71 - - - - 520 0.60 - - - - 76,169 87.87 86,679 MS
Missouri 18 398,032 50.59 18 369,339 46.94 - 14,612 1.86 - 3,884 0.49 - - - - 902 0.11 - 28,693 3.65 786,769 MO
Montana 4 101,063 56.88 4 66,750 37.57 - 9,564 5.38 - - - - 302 0.17 - - - - 34,313 19.31 177,679 MT
Nebraska 8 158,827 55.28 8 117,771 40.99 - 7,141 2.49 - 2,952 1.03 - - - - 624 0.22 - 41,056 14.29 287,315 NE
Nevada 3 17,776 53.36 3 12,127 36.40 - 3,065 9.20 - 348 1.04 - - - - - - - 5,649 16.96 33,316 NV
New Hampshire 4 43,781 49.12 4 43,725 49.06 - 1,318 1.48 - 303 0.34 - - - - - - - 56 0.06 89,127 NH
New Jersey 14 211,018 42.68 - 268,982 54.40 14 10,405 2.10 - 3,182 0.64 - - - - 855 0.17 - -57,964 -11.72 494,442 NJ
New Mexico 3 33,527 50.20 3 31,152 46.64 - 1,996 2.99 - 112 0.17 - - - - - - - 2,375 3.56 66,787 NM
New York 45 759,426 44.51 - 879,238 51.53 45 45,944 2.69 - 19,031 1.12 - - - - 2,666 0.16 - -119,812 -7.02 1,706,305 NY
North Carolina 12 168,383 58.10 12 120,890 41.71 - 509 0.18 - 55 0.02 - - - - - - - 47,493 16.39 289,837 NC
North Dakota 5 55,206 47.84 5 53,471 46.34 - 5,716 4.95 - 997 0.86 - - - - - - - 1,735 1.50 115,390 ND
Ohio 24 604,161 51.86 24 514,753 44.18 - 38,092 3.27 - 8,080 0.69 - - - - - - - 89,408 7.67 1,165,086 OH
Oklahoma 10 148,113 50.59 10 97,233 33.21 - 45,527 15.55 - 1,646 0.56 - 234 0.08 - - - - 50,880 17.38 292,753 OK
Oregon 5 120,087 45.90 - 126,813 48.47 5 9,711 3.71 - 4,729 1.81 - 310 0.12 - - - - -6,726 -2.57 261,650 OR
Pennsylvania 38 521,784 40.22 - 703,823 54.26 38 42,638 3.29 - 28,525 2.20 - - - - 419 0.03 - -182,039 -14.03 1,297,189 PA
Rhode Island 5 40,394 46.00 - 44,858 51.08 5 1,914 2.18 - 470 0.54 - - - - 180 0.20 - -4,464 -5.08 87,816 RI
South Carolina 9 61,846 96.71 9 1,550 2.42 - 135 0.21 - - - - 162 0.25 - - - - 60,296 94.28 63,952 SC
South Dakota 5 59,191 45.91 - 64,217 49.80 5 3,760 2.92 - 1,774 1.38 - - - - - - - -5,026 -3.90 128,942 SD
Tennessee 12 153,280 56.31 12 116,223 42.70 - 2,542 0.93 - 145 0.05 - - - - - - - 37,057 13.61 272,190 TN
Texas 20 286,514 76.92 20 64,999 17.45 - 18,969 5.09 - 1,985 0.53 - - - - - - - 221,515 59.47 372,467 TX
Utah 4 84,145 58.78 4 54,137 37.82 - 4,460 3.12 - 149 0.10 - 111 0.08 - 144 0.10 - 30,008 20.96 143,146 UT
Vermont 4 22,708 35.22 - 40,250 62.43 4 798 1.24 - 709 1.10 - - - - - - - -17,542 -27.21 64,475 VT
Virginia 12 101,840 66.99 12 48,384 31.83 - 1,056 0.69 - 678 0.45 - - - - 67 0.04 - 53,456 35.16 152,025 VA
Washington 7 183,388 48.13 7 167,208 43.89 - 22,800 5.98 - 6,868 1.80 - - - - 730 0.19 - 16,180 4.25 380,994 WA
West Virginia 8 140,403 48.44 1 143,124 49.38 7 6,150 2.12 - 175 0.06 - - - - - - - -2,721 -0.94 289,852 WV
Wisconsin 13 191,363 42.80 - 220,822 49.39 13 27,631 6.18 - 7,318 1.64 - - - - - - - -29,459 -6.59 447,134 WI
Wyoming 3 28,316 54.62 3 21,698 41.86 - 1,453 2.80 - 373 0.72 - - - - - - - 6,618 12.77 51,840 WY
TOTALS: 531 9,126,868 49.24 277 8,548,728 46.12 254 590,524 3.19 - 221,302 1.19 - 33,406 0.18 - 15,295 0.08 - 578,140 3.12 18,536,585 US

States that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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States that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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States that flipped from Progressive to Republican

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States that flipped from Progressive to Democratic

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Close states

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Margin of victory of less than 1% (52 electoral votes):

  1. New Hampshire, 0.06% (56 votes)
  2. Minnesota, 0.10% (392 votes)
  3. California, 0.38% (3,773 votes) (tipping point state)
  4. West Virginia, 0.94% (2,721 votes)
  5. Indiana, 0.97% (6,942 votes)

Margin of victory of less than 5% (77 electoral votes):

  1. North Dakota, 1.50% (1,735 votes)
  2. Delaware, 2.43% (1,258 votes)
  3. Oregon, 2.57% (6,726 votes)
  4. Connecticut, 3.15% (6,728 votes)
  5. New Mexico, 3.56% (2,375 votes)
  6. Missouri, 3.65% (28,693 votes)
  7. South Dakota, 3.90% (5,026 votes)
  8. Massachusetts, 3.93% (20,899 votes)
  9. Maine, 4.02% (5,475 votes)
  10. Washington, 4.25% (16,180 votes)

Margin of victory of between 5% and 10% (162 electoral votes):

  1. Rhode Island, 5.08% (4,464 votes)
  2. Kentucky, 5.41% (28,136 votes)
  3. Kansas, 5.86% (36,930 votes)
  4. Wisconsin, 6.59% (29,459 votes)
  5. New York, 7.02% (119,812 votes)
  6. Ohio, 7.67% (89,408 votes)
  7. Maryland, 8.02% (21,012 votes)
  8. Michigan, 8.04% (52,322 votes)
  9. Illinois, 9.23% (202,320 votes)

Results by county

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Of the 3,022 counties making returns, Wilson led in 2,039 counties (67.47%). Hughes managed to carry only 976 counties (32.30%), the smallest number in the Republican column in a two-party contest during the Fourth Party System. Two counties (0.07%) split evenly between Wilson and Hughes. Although the Progressive Party had no presidential candidate (just candidates for presidential electors who were unpledged for president), they carried five counties (0.17%), whilst nine counties – 0.30 percent and the same as in 1912 – inhabited either by Native Americans without citizenship or disenfranchised African Americans failed to return a single vote. Wilson carried 200 counties that had never voted Democratic in a two-party contest prior to that time.[40]

Counties with Highest Percent of Vote (Democratic)

  1. Dillon County, South Carolina 100.00%
  2. Hampton County, South Carolina 100.00%
  3. Jasper County, South Carolina 100.00%
  4. Tunica County, Mississippi 100.00%
  5. Echols County, Georgia 100.00%

Counties with Highest Percent of Vote (Republican)

  1. Leslie County, Kentucky 91.55%
  2. Sevier County, Tennessee 90.42%
  3. Zapata County, Texas 89.17%
  4. Jackson County, Kentucky 87.90%
  5. Johnson County, Tennessee 87.33%

Counties with Highest Percent of Vote (Other)

  1. Lafourche Parish, Louisiana 59.38%
  2. Glascock County, Georgia 53.79%
  3. Paulding County, Georgia 53.52%
  4. Fannin County, Georgia 51.29%
  5. Iberia Parish, Louisiana 47.59%

Maps

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Aftermath

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The gains made by Wilson in this election were a novel phenomenon under the Fourth Party System. This shift of votes led some to believe that the Democratic Party might have the position of decided advantage in the election of 1920.[40]

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Stories vary as to whether this person was his son, a butler, or a valet.
  2. ^ West Virginia's electors were voted on separately, and one of Wilson's, Orland Depue, managed to win.
  3. ^ Theodore Roosevelt won Maryland in 1904 by just fifty-one votes, but voters voted for individual presidential electors and only one Republican elector, Charles Bonaparte, survived the tally. Likewise, Henry Clay won Maryland by only four votes in 1832, but Maryland chose electors by district.

References

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  1. ^ "National General Election VEP Turnout Rates, 1789-Present". United States Election Project. CQ Press.
  2. ^ Frederick Luebke, Bonds of Loyalty: German-Americans and World War I (1974), pp. 57–98.
  3. ^ "Wilson for 'America First'" Archived February 2, 2017, at the Wayback Machine, The Chicago Daily Tribune (October 12, 1915).
  4. ^ Cooper, John Milton. Woodrow Wilson: A Biography, p. 278 (Vintage Books, 2011).
  5. ^ Garrett, Garet. Defend America First: The Antiwar Editorials of the Saturday Evening Post, 1939–1942, p. 13 (Caxton Press 2003).
  6. ^ John Patrick Finnegan, Against the Specter of a Dragon: The Campaign for American Military Preparedness, 1914–1917 (1974), p. 164.
  7. ^ "MOOSE ANGRY AND BITTER - Convention Ends in Gloom After Long Fight for Roosevelt. NAME HIM AMID CHEERS Three Minutes Afterward They Hear of the Republican Stampede to Hughes. COLONEL'S LETTER A BOMB Delegates Disperse Sadly When They Hear That He Conditionally Declines to Run. MOOSE CONVENTION CLOSES IN GLOOM" (PDF). The New York Times. June 11, 1916. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 9, 2022. Retrieved August 18, 2016.
  8. ^ "BULL MOOSE CHIEFS GOING TO OYSTER BAY - Gov. Johnson and Others to Visit Roosevelt This Week to Discuss Party's Plans. DIVIDED ON THE FUTURE Some Leaders Insist on Third Ticket - - Henry Allen Announces He Will Support Hughes" (PDF). The New York Times. June 12, 1916. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 9, 2022. Retrieved August 18, 2016.
  9. ^ "HUGHES INDORSED BY MOOSE COMMITTEE - National Body Adopts Suggestion of Roosevelt, 32 to 6, With 9 Members Not Voting. MOOSE INDORSES, HUGHES ACCEPTS" (PDF). The New York Times. June 27, 1916. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 9, 2022. Retrieved August 18, 2016.
  10. ^ "MOOSE CONVENTION MAY NAME WILSON - Second Progressive National Gathering Will Meet at Chicago Aug. 5. LOOK TO COLBY TO LEAD Insurgents Get Democratic Assurances That They Will Have No Reason to Regret Flop" (PDF). The New York Times. July 25, 1916. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 9, 2022. Retrieved August 18, 2016.
  11. ^ "MOOSE WON'T NAME ANOTHER CANDIDATE – Leaders at Indianapolis Conference, However, Severely Criticise Indorsement of Hughes. CALL ACTION A BETRAYAL Plan to Name Electoral Tickets in Some States and Unite with Other Parties After Election MOOSE WON'T NAME ANOTHER CANDIDATE" (PDF). The New York Times. August 4, 1916. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 9, 2022. Retrieved August 18, 2016.
  12. ^ Haynes, Fred (1924). Social Politics in the United States. The Riverside Press Cambridge. p. 201.
  13. ^ Currie, Harold W. (1976). Eugene V. Debs. Twayne Publishers.
  14. ^ "A.L. BENSON HEADS SOCIALIST TICKET - Yonkers Man Nominated for the Presidency in Primary Taken by Mail. BALLOTS TOTALED 32,398 G.R. Kirkpatrick Chosen for Vice President - Berger and Hillquit Also Win" (PDF). The New York Times. March 12, 1916. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 9, 2022. Retrieved August 18, 2016.
  15. ^ "WANT BRYAN TO HEAD PROHIBITION TICKET; Cold-Water Leaders Seize on His Hint That He May Desert Democracy".
  16. ^ "DRYS' LEAN TO HANLY.; Indiana Man Leads Sulzer in Race for Prohibition Nomination".
  17. ^ "HANLY NOMINATED BY PROHIBITIONISTS; Ex-Governor of Indiana Named for President and I.B. Landrith for Second Place. SULZER GETS 181 VOTES New Yorker Talks of Steam Roller Tactics at St. Paul, but Will Support the Ticket".
  18. ^ Godfrey Hodgson (2006). Woodrow Wilson's right hand: the life of Colonel Edward M. House. Yale University Press. p. 126. ISBN 0300092695.
  19. ^ John Milton Cooper, Jr., Woodrow Wilson (2009) pp 341-2, 352, 360
  20. ^ Merlo J. Pusey, Charles Evans Hughes (1951) vol 1 p 356
  21. ^ "U.S. Involvement Before 1913 - The Mexican Revolution and the United States | Exhibitions - Library of Congress". www.loc.gov. Retrieved August 14, 2024.
  22. ^ Spencer C. Olin, California's Prodigal Sons: Hiram Johnson and the Progressives, 1911-1917 (1968) pp, 152-155.
  23. ^ Michael P. Rogin, and John L. Shover, Political Change in California: Critical Elections and Social Movements, 1890-1966 (Greenwood, 1970) p. 49.
  24. ^ Link, Arthur (1962). "President Wilson's Plan to Resign in 1916". The Princeton University Library Chronicle. 23 (4): 167–172. doi:10.2307/26402855. JSTOR 26402855. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  25. ^ Waxman, Matthew (October 6, 2020). "Avoiding Post-Election Chaos: Wilson vs. Hughes, 1916". lawfareblog.com. Lawfarel. Retrieved May 30, 2021.
  26. ^ Waxman, Matthew (October 6, 2020). "Avoiding Post-Election Chaos: Wilson vs. Hughes, 1916". www.lawfareblog.com. Lawfare. Retrieved June 16, 2021.
  27. ^ "Hughes Elected by Narrow Margin". The Sun. New York. November 8, 1916. p. 1. Retrieved January 25, 2020 – via chroniclingamerica.loc.gov/.
  28. ^ "Нови председник Сједињених Америчких Држава" [New president of the United States of America]. digarhiv.nbs.rs (in Serbian). Новине српске. November 15, 1916. Retrieved September 5, 2022. News start on the far left column
  29. ^ The United States Presidents. Curtis Publishing Company. 1980. p. 102. ISBN 0-89387-051-X.
  30. ^ Rasmussen, Frederick N. (November 2, 2008). "When Wilson beat Hughes, Baltimore blinked". The Baltimore Sun. Archived from the original on May 8, 2021. Retrieved November 5, 2020.
  31. ^ "Wilson Lacks Only 12 Out of Possible 38 Votes". Bridgeport Evening Farmer. Bridgeport, Connecticut. November 8, 1916. p. 1. Retrieved January 25, 2020 – via chroniclingamerica.loc.gov/.
  32. ^ "Wilson Elected by Votes of California and North Dakota". The Ogden Standard. Ogden, Utah. November 9, 1916. p. 1. Retrieved January 25, 2020 – via chroniclingamerica.loc.gov/.
  33. ^ Murphy, Paul (1974). Political Parties In American History, Volume 3, 1890-present. G. P. Putnam's Sons.
  34. ^ Brownstein, Ronald (September 16, 2024). "Why these three states are the most consistent tipping point in American politics". CNN. Retrieved September 16, 2024.
  35. ^ Sherman 1973, p. 263.
  36. ^ David Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections; 1916 Election Statistics
  37. ^ The Presidential Vote, 1896-1932, Edgar E. Robinson, pg. 17
  38. ^ The Presidential Vote, 1896-1932, Edgar E. Robinson, pg. 17-19
  39. ^ "1916 Presidential General Election Data - National". Uselectionatlas.org. Retrieved April 15, 2013.
  40. ^ a b The Presidential Vote, 1896-1932, Edgar E. Robinson, pg. 19

Bibliography

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  • Bates, J. Leonard, and Vanette M. Schwartz. "Golden Special Campaign Train: Republican Women Campaign for Charles Evans Hughes for President in 1916." Montana: The Magazine of Western History (1987): 26–35. online
  • Beatson, James Allen. "The Election the West Decided: 1916." Arizona and the West 3.1 (1961): 39–58. online
  • Berman, David R. Radicalism in the Mountain West, 1890-1920: Socialists, Populists, Miners, and Wobblies (University Press of Colorado, 2007).
  • Burchell, R. A. "Did the Irish and German Voters Desert the Democrats in 1920? A Tentative Statistical Answer" Journal of American Studies 5#2 (1972) pp. 153–164 online
  • Cooper, John Milton Jr.. Woodrow Wilson (2009), ch 16.
  • Davies, Gareth, and Julian E. Zelizer, eds. America at the Ballot Box: Elections and Political History (2015) pp. 118–38.
  • Gould, Lewis L. (2016). The First Modern Clash Over Federal Power: Wilson Versus Hughes in the Presidential Election of 1916. Lawrence, KS, USA: University Press of Kansas. ISBN 978-0-7006-2280-1. online
  • Leary, William M. Jr. (1967). "Woodrow Wilson, Irish Americans, and the Election of 1916". The Journal of American History. 54 (1): 57–72. doi:10.2307/1900319. JSTOR 1900319.
  • Link, Arthur Stanley (1954). Woodrow Wilson and the Progressive Era, 1910–1917. New York: Harper. ISBN 978-0-06-012650-6.
  • Link, Arthur Stanley (1965). Wilson: Campaigns For Progressivism and Peace 1916–1917. Princeton: Princeton University Press. ISBN 978-1-59740-283-5.
  • Lovell, S. D. (1980). The Presidential Election of 1916. Carbondale: Southern Illinois University Press. ISBN 978-0-8093-0965-8.
  • Miller, Sally M. "The Socialist Party and the Negro, 1901–20," Journal of Negro History 56 (July 1971): 220–229. online
  • Oks, David. "The Election of 1916, 'Negrowumpism,' and the Black Defection from the Republican Party." Journal of the Gilded Age and Progressive Era 20.4 (2021): 523–547. online
  • Olin, Spencer C. "Hiram Johnson, the California Progressives, and the Hughes Campaign of 1916." Pacific Historical Review 31.4 (1962): 403–412. online
  • Phelps, Nicole M. "The Election of 1916." in A Companion to Woodrow Wilson ed, by Ross A. Kennedy, (2013): 173+ online.
  • Pietrusza, David (2018). TR's Last War: Theodore Roosevelt, the Great War, and a Journey of Triumph and Tragedy. Guilford (CT): Lyons Press. ISBN 978-1-4930-2887-0.; popular history
  • Pusey, Merlo J. (1951). Charles Evans Hughes. Vol. 1. New York: Macmillan. volume 1 ch 31–34
  • Roberts, George C. “Woodrow Wilson, John W. Kern and the 1916 Indiana Election: Defeat of a Senate Majority Leader.” presidential Studies Quarterly 10, no. 1 (1980): 63–73. [1]
  • Rogin, Michael. "Progressivism and the California electorate." Journal of American History 55.2 (1968): 297–314. online
  • Sarasohn, David. "The Election of 1916: Realigning the Rockies." Western Historical Quarterly 11.3 (1980): 285–305. online
  • Sherman, Richard (1973). The Republican Party and Black America From McKinley to Hoover 1896-1933. University of Virginia Press. ISBN 0813904676.

Primary sources

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  • Chester, Edward W A guide to political platforms (1977) online
  • Porter, Kirk H. and Donald Bruce Johnson, eds. National party platforms, 1840-1964 (1965) online 1840-1956
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